Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.393690 0.513065 0.643140 0.793387 0.960330 1.138552 1.341696
2025-05-04 0.255606 0.419741 0.617510 0.863560 1.153363 1.477242 1.860591
2025-05-11 0.182562 0.363888 0.599832 0.908303 1.284687 1.716307 2.237506
2025-05-18 0.119716 0.302554 0.561820 0.917929 1.366834 1.893371 2.540006
2025-05-25 0.060700 0.223837 0.484744 0.865275 1.362850 1.960691 2.707745
2025-06-01 0.023407 0.158911 0.412835 0.808476 1.345233 2.005129 2.843002
2025-06-08 0.007020 0.119519 0.370321 0.784955 1.364800 2.090621 3.023455
2025-06-15 0.001654 0.100888 0.358184 0.802172 1.435920 2.238572 3.278163
2025-06-22 NaN 0.077401 0.331015 0.793268 1.469495 2.337700 3.472157
2025-06-29 NaN 0.055019 0.298689 0.772238 1.483734 2.410377 3.632221
2025-07-06 NaN 0.050483 0.304744 0.812156 1.582526 2.591324 3.926033
2025-07-13 NaN 0.047592 0.313971 0.857008 1.688200 2.781220 4.231131
2025-07-20 NaN 0.044732 0.324486 0.907419 1.806977 2.994828 4.574577
2025-07-27 NaN 0.047499 0.351122 0.986484 1.968478 3.266207 4.992923
2025-08-03 NaN 0.044053 0.359293 1.033370 2.083348 3.476371 5.334344
2025-08-10 NaN 0.034702 0.347145 1.043961 2.145341 3.617194 5.588976
2025-08-17 NaN 0.017916 0.299558 0.987486 2.107090 3.624531 5.674606
2025-08-24 NaN 0.006504 0.253065 0.926546 2.058370 3.615321 5.737169
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002062 0.227328 0.901256 2.060637 3.672247 5.881843
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000962 0.223757 0.919768 2.129628 3.819048 6.141319
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000036 0.207464 0.910196 2.154297 3.905224 6.322745
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.186322 0.887576 2.157207 3.960898 6.464342
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.194624 0.930496 2.264096 4.159425 6.790640